Multi-Agents Computational Experiment on Twice-Linked Model of Unconventional Emergencies Evolution Mechanism

Based on the cellular automaton principle and multi-agents theory of complex systems, the generation and the evolutionary mechanism of unconventional emergencies have been studied and the twice-linked model of he evolutionary mechanism of unconventional emergencies has been established with calculating experiments being carried out in this study. The conclusion is reached that the internal causes of unconventional incident is the accumulation of internal energy. Evolution process of twice-linked systems is a process that the constantly-accumulated energy in the promoted system is first suddenly released, and then the internal energy in the linkage system is stimulated and also released in a large-scale. These two outbreaks are almost at the same time, and the eruption of the linkage system can be more than twice as powerful as that of promoted system. The linkage effect of unconventional emergencies could be totally prevented only when no transfer possibility or 100% ceasing ability in linkage system or no network space density occur.